Rory Who?

[thevoice]

Has anybody seen little Rory's new ads? You know, the ones using the kids. Notice what is missing from those 30 seconds? That would be his last name. His Dad is such a political hot potato that even his son won't use the name Reid in his ads. I'm really starting to think that this state will be Reid free come November. Thoughts?

[Posturedoc]

Has anybody seen little Rory's new ads? You know, the ones using the kids. Notice what is missing from those 30 seconds? That would be his last name. His Dad is such a political hot potato that even his son won't use the name Reid in his ads. I'm really starting to think that this state will be Reid free come November. Thoughts?

Still can't see somebody with a history of voicing/running on/attempting to legislate as many extreme and scewball ideas as Angle winning, even against an incumbent as vulnerable as Reid. Reid Jr. is definitely the underdog to Sandoval, but it's early. I've heard many politically savvy folks from all sides of the political spectrum claim that Rory is for real and would be a solid choice for gov. That's good to hear after almost four years of the most incompetent Nevada governor in modern times. My money is still on Sandoval.

[student4ever]

I'm calling it for Harry Reid and Brian Sandoval. I think Rory takes it on the chin due good ol' dad, but Sharron Angle can't draw the numbers to beat Harry.

[thevoice]

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2010/election_2010_governor_elections/nevada/election_2010_nevada_governor

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2010/election_2010_senate_elections/nevada/election_2010_nevada_senate

I think Rory goes down big time by at least 10 points. I, like many, think Angle is waaaaayyyyy too right to win a general election. However, these numbers look good for her. The hatred of Harry is so great, it just may lead to her election. In this race, it's going to come down to turnout. Whose side is more likely to show up in the larger numbers? I would think it's the Anti-Reid.

[student4ever]

Remember that Rasmussen has a republican lean until right before elections where they pull back in line with other polling. IIRC, Rasmussen's republican lean is about 3.5 or 4 points, which makes the senate effectively a toss-up. As for governor, I'll be shocked if it isn't Sandoval.

[renowiggum]

I think Rory goes down big time by at least 10 points. I, like many, think Angle is waaaaayyyyy too right to win a general election.

After Lowden suffered from extreme foot-in-mouth disease, Tarkanian was the Republican's best hope to unseat Reid. Angle is vulnerable among centrist voters, and the thing that made her so appealing to conservatives (being a rigidly conservative vote) works against her until November. No amount of hiding form the press can expunge her history as cannon fodder, and Reid's campaign will be well financed enough that it will be hard not to know Angle's every statement on any sensitive issue by heart.

I'd give Reid the edge right now, and the election, barring some epic transformation of Angle into a more broadly appealing candidate. Polls right now are more strongly anti-Reid, because people know Reid but not as much about Angle - it's fueled by pure anti-incumbency and isn't as much a comparative measure of the candidates.